A lot is spoken about anti-incumbency in Jagan Mohan Reddy’s government. With elections fifteen months to go, the Opposition is on its toes. A survey by People’s Pulse agency has shown us a hint.
This survey is about the seven ST constituencies of Andhra Pradesh. These constituencies are supposed to be the strongholds of the YSR Congress. TDP lost all seven constituencies and even lost deposits in Araku in 2019.
The survey says TDP has shown remarkable improvement in these constituencies but is in the winning position in only one i.e., Polavaram.
In Palakonda, the difference is only 1.31%.
In 2019, YSR Congress enjoyed a Vote Share of 49.19% while TDP got only 29.7%. According to this survey, TDP’s Vote Share has gone up to 39.39% while YSR Congress is at 44.25%.
Janasena’s Vote Share is projected at 8.19% with Communists also enjoying a decent presence. An alliance between TDP and Janasena can make a big difference.
TDP always performed poorly in ST reserved states. Even in 2009, it won only one seat. TDP adding nearly 9.6% to its 2019 vote share speaks volumes about the anti-incumbency on the Government.
There is a chance that TDP can improve further from here in the last one year. Also, TDP and Janasena combination can work further.
The survey says there is a severe enchantment over the sitting MLAs and the functioning of ITDA.
Further, Government employees, Teachers, and non-government organizations will have considerable influence over the tribals. But these sections are unhappy with the Government.
If the situation in the ST reserved states (the strongest area of YSR Congress) is extrapolated to the entire state, it is a scary condition for YSR Congress.
